Muva nje, izinga lokushintshisana le-RMB uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika lidonse ukunaka okubanzi emakethe yamazwe ngamazwe. Njengemali egciniwe enkulu kunazo zonke emhlabeni, idola sekuyisikhathi eside libusa okwenziwa ngamazwe ngamazwe, kodwa ngokukhula komnotho waseShayina kanye nokusheshisa kokuhwebelana kwamazwe ngamazwe kwe-renminbi, ibhalansi ishintsha ngobuqili. Ake sibheke kabanzi ngentuthuko yakamuva kulesi simo, izitayela ezingenzeka, nokuthi kusho ukuthini lokhu ekuhwebeni komhlaba wonke nakubatshalizimali.

Izinga lokushintshisana kwamanje: Ngokwe-People's Bank of China, kusukela ngoJulayi 2024, izinga lokulinganisa elimaphakathi le-RMB uma liqhathaniswa nedola laseMelika lahlala licishe libe ngu-6.3, elihlale lisezingeni elizinzile lilonke naphezu kokuhlehla komlando. Lokhu kukhomba ukuthi ukusetshenziswa kwe-renminbi ekuxazululeni ukuhwebelana komhlaba wonke kunyukile, kanti ukubusa kwedola akuzange kunyakaziswe ngokuphelele.

Ukuguquguquka kwedola lase-Us kanye nokwenza kwamazwe ngamazwe kwe-RMB: Njengohlobo lwemali lokuma komhlaba jikelele, ukulungiswa kwezinga lenzalo yedola laseMelika kanye nokuthambekela kwenqubomgomo kunomthelela oqondile ezimakethe zomhlaba. Ukushintshashintsha kwakamuva kwenkomba yedola laseMelika kubonisa okulindelekile kwenqubomgomo yezimali eqinile yase-US, okuye kwashukumisela amazwe athile ukuthi afune ukuhlukanisa izimali zokukhokhelana, kuhlanganise ne-renminbi. Ngezinqubomgomo zokuphatha izinga lokushintshisana eziguquguqukayo, i-PBOC iqinisekise ukuzinza kwezinga lokushintshisana kwe-RMB futhi yanikeza ukuzethemba kubabambiqhaza bohwebo bamazwe ngamazwe.

Okuthrendayo Kwemakethe Nokuhlaziywa Kwemithelela:

I-Trend 1: Ukuhwebelana Kwembulunga yonke kokuxazululwa kwe-RMB: Njengoba amazwe amaningi ngokwengeziwe, njengamazwe aseGulf, amazwe athuthukile eYurophu namazwe ezimakethe asathuthuka, eqaphela i-RMB, inethiwekhi yokukhokhelana kwe-RMB izokwandiswa nakakhulu. Lokhu kuzonciphisa izindleko zokusebenza kuyilapho kukhombisa inqubo yokuhlukahluka ohlelweni lwezezimali lomhlaba wonke.

Ithrendi yesi-2: Izinselele ekubuseni kweDola lase-US: Ukukhuphuka kwesimo samazwe ngamazwe se-RMB kungase kwenze buthaka ukubusa ngokuphelele kwedola laseMelika, kudale usongo olungaba khona ku-US dollar hegemony. Lokhu kuzokhuthaza abenzi bezinqubomgomo zamadola ukuthi baphinde bahlole umthelela wenqubomgomo yabo yezimali ekuzinzeni kwezezimali emhlabeni jikelele.

Umthelela 1: Izindleko zohwebo nokulawulwa kwezingcuphe: Ezinkampanini, ukusetshenziswa kwe-RMB ekukhokheleni kunganciphisa ingcuphe yezinga lokushintshaniswa kwemali, ikakhulukazi ezintendeni zempahla, okungase kukhuthaze amafemu engeziwe ukuthi ashintshele ku-RMB njengohlobo lwemali yokukhokhelana.

Umthelela wesibili: Ukuthathwa kwezinqumo zabatshalizimali: Kubatshalizimali bamazwe ngamazwe, izimpahla ze-RMB zizothandeka kakhulu, okungase kuholele ekungeneni kwezimali ezimakethe zezimali zaseShayina, ngaleyo ndlela kuthinte ukuhamba kwemali kanye nokuguquguquka kwezimakethe.

Ukuqonda kanye Neseluleko Esisebenzayo: Nakuba idola kuseyimali ehamba phambili, ukukhuphuka kwe-renminbi akunakuzitshwa. Emabhizinisini, ukuhlukahluka kwezinhlobo zemali zokukhokhelana kufanele kubhekwe ukuze kubhekwane nengcuphe yezinga lokushintshisana. Ngaso leso sikhathi, uhulumeni nezikhungo zezezimali kufanele ziqhubeke nokugqugquzela inqubo yokwenziwa kwamazwe ngamazwe kwe-RMB futhi kuthuthukise ukujula nobubanzi bemakethe yezezimali.

Ngokuthuthuka kwamandla kazwelonke, ukuhwebelana kwethu phakathi kwamazwe omhlaba kuya ngokuya kushelela, okwenziwa eShayina kuye kwaba umkhiqizo onokwethenjelwa,I-Jinan erjin Import and Export CompanyIbhizinisi eliyinhloko elilinganiselwe ukukhiqizwa nokudayiswa kweziphuzo zikabhiya, kanye nokukhiqizwa nokudayisaamathini e-aluminium yesiphuzo, wamukelekile ukuxoxisana nosomabhizinisi abavela kuwo wonke amazwe.